A poll released yesterday by the University of Costa Rica (UCR) found that nearly half of all voting heads of household in Costa Rica would vote in favor of the Central American Free-Trade Agreement with the United States (CAFTA) if October's referendum on the treaty were held today.
Meanwhile, 37.6% said they would vote against the treaty, with 12.8% still undecided. With a 4-point margin of error, that means that even if all 12.8% of undecided voting respondents voted against CAFTA, it would only achieve a statistical tie.
The poll is limited in its scope and should not be taken as a portrait of Costa Rica's total population, said Miguel Rodríguez, director of UCR's School of Statistics. Since the school originally designed the study to gauge consumer confidence, not political opinions, only heads of household were consulted in the poll.
Likewise, the school's Center of Opinion Studies conducted the poll of 705 Costa Ricans by telephone, meaning that the opinions of the 35% of Costa Ricans who don't have a telephone were not included. |
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